Crude Awakening 2022 Methodology

From Global Energy Monitor

Crude Awakening 2022: Data sources

The data is gathered from GEM's Global Oil Infrastructure Tracker (GOIT), specifically the June 2022 version with minor updates to make it current as of September 2022.

The June 2022 GOIT dataset is available for download here under a creative commons license. If you would like the exact version of the dataset used in this report, please reach out to us by going through the data request process and replying to the automated email you receive to request it.

GOIT tracks both oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) pipelines, though only oil pipelines are used

Crude Awakening 2022: methodology

Data collection is done via secondary research by GEM staff; the GOIT methodology page describes the process a bit more. The GOIT FAQ also provides information about the dataset. See an archived version from September 2022 at the time of the report's release.

Pipeline length calculations

Throughout the report, pipeline kilometers (km) are presented within countries and regions. These length calculations are done as follows:

  • When the actual length of a pipeline is found in research, this is recorded and prioritized as the length used in calculations/analysis.
  • When a pipeline's length is not available, we estimate it by calculating the length of the line of coordinates on the globe using Python GIS packages.
    • Pipeline routes are added to the GEM database by either (1) tracing them directly from a map, when found in research, or (2) approximating the route as a low-resolution (typically straight or near-straight) line, with appropriate start and end points.
    • Given limited resources and route map availability, route maps vary in their accuracy. Route mapping priority is given to projects that are in development (Proposed, Construction) and over 100 km in length.
  • If a pipeline crosses a national boundary, we are typically not able to find the pipeline km within each country. To estimate within-country pipeline km, we therefore use the route map in our database to estimate the pipeline's fraction within a given country, and multiply this by either the known length (prioritized when available) or the estimated length.
  • For offshore routes, country and sovereignty boundaries were determined using exclusive economic zones (EEZs) from Marine Regions.

Capital expenditure (capex) calculations

Regional average pipeline costs (USD per unit km) are calculated using projects that provide these data in the GOIT database. The table below details the regional mean costs that are used to extrapolate missing costs for regional pipeline km.

Average regional costs to build crude oil transmission pipelines, broken down by regions used in the report.
Region Mean cost (million USD per km) Number of projects with cost data
Sub-Saharan Africa 2.95 4
North America 2.84 26
East Asia 1.87 5
Eurasia 1.85 6
South Asia 1.71 5
Latin America and the Caribbean 1.54 5
Middle East and North Africa 1.47 14
Australia and New Zealand 1.21 6
Europe 1.08 5
SE Asia 0.94 6

Figures

Figure 1

Fig01-oil-pipelines km-by-start-year-backto2008-with-2022-alt.png

Figure 2

Fig02-oil-pipelines top-20-countries-no-cancelled-shelved.png

Figure 3

Fig03-Sub-Saharan-Africa.png

Figure 4

Fig04-North-America.png

Figure 5

Fig05-North-America-Gulf-Coast.png

Figure 6

Fig06-North-America-Alaska-zoomed.png

Figure 7

Fig07-MENA.png

Figure 8

Fig08-India.png

Figure 9

Fig09-China.png

Figure 10

Fig10-Russia.png

Tables

Table 1

Region Proposed (km) Construction (km) Proposed+Construction (km)
Sub-Saharan Africa 4,540 1,950 6,490
North America 2,693 1,381 4,074
Middle East and North Africa 1,805 1,903 3,708
South Asia 1,194 2,316 3,510
East Asia 1,047 1,486 2,533
Eurasia 1,494 768 2,262
Europe 800 207 1,007
SE Asia 240 342 582
Australia and New Zealand 0 0 0
Latin America and the Caribbean 0 0 0
Total 13,813 10,353 24,166

Table 2

Region Proposed (USD billion) Construction (USD billion) Proposed+Construction (USD billion)
North America 7.5 18.1 25.6
Sub-Saharan Africa 10.0 7.0 17.0
Middle East and North Africa 9.1 2.1 11.2
Europe 7.1 0.1 7.2
South Asia 1.2 4.6 5.8
East Asia 1.8 2.4 4.2
Eurasia 2.8 1.3 4.0
SE Asia 0.0 0.3 0.3
Australia and New Zealand 0.0 0.0 0.0
Latin America and the Caribbean 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 39.5 36.0 75.4

Table 3

Parent Headquarters country Length in development (km) Capacity in development (bpd) Potential emissions (million metric tonnes CO2 per year)
China National Petroleum Corporation China 1,950 90,000 14
Iraq Ministry of Oil Iraq 1,677 2,500,000 382
Numaligarh Refinery Limited India 1,630
TotalEnergies SE France 1,288 441,000 67
Indian Oil Corporation India 1,194 430,068 66
Iran Ministry of Petroleum Iran 1,193 750,000 115
Rosneft Russia 1,190 319,479 49
Government of Zambia Zambia 1,141 22,000 3
Canada Development Investment Corporation Canada 980 290,000 44
True Companies United States 784 950,000 145
Transneft Russia 755 617,547 94
ConocoPhillips United States 701 350,000 53
Petrobangla Bangladesh 686 60,000 9
Tullow Oil United Kingdom 601 225,000 34
Power Solution Technologies Plc Thailand 570 93,838 14
Government of Tanzania Tanzania 569 22,000 3
Blackstone Group United States 563 800,000 122
Sultanate of Oman Oman 440 700,000 107
Sarmatia Unknown 398 245,753 38
Africa Oil Canada 392 225,000 34

Table A1

Country Proposed Construction Proposed+Construction Shelved Cancelled Operating Idle Mothballed Retired
United States 2693 137 2829 1902 24221 98015 0 0 1432
India 1194 1630 2824 0 1338 8859 0 0 0
China 1047 1486 2533 0 8477 25271 0 0 6826
Russia 1494 557 2051 0 542 40092 0 52 618
Tanzania 1932 0 1932 0 0 877 0 0 0
Canada 0 1244 1244 6409 6631 25332 0 0 1266
Iran 0 1193 1193 0 1530 3222 0 0 0
Niger 0 1192 1192 0 83 0 0 0 0
Kenya 1109 0 1109 0 1012 0 0 0 0
Iraq 1047 0 1047 0 907 3364 0 585 0
Zambia 929 0 929 0 0 833 0 0 0
Bangladesh 0 686 686 249 0 186 0 0 0
Benin 0 650 650 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jordan 618 0 618 0 0 0 0 0 153
Thailand 215 342 557 0 0 990 0 0 0
Poland 530 0 530 0 1269 865 0 0 0
Oman 0 440 440 0 0 961 0 0 0
Egypt 140 170 310 0 310 940 0 0 0
Uganda 294 0 294 0 488 0 0 0 0
South Sudan 276 0 276 0 0 122 0 0 0

Table A2

Pipeline Status Length (km)
Niger–Benin Oil Pipeline Construction 1,950
Tazama Oil Pipeline Proposed 1,710
Basra-Aqaba Oil Pipeline Proposed 1,665
Paradip Numaligarh Crude Pipeline (PNCPL) Construction 1,630
East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) Proposed 1,444
Vostok Oil Pipeline Proposed 1,400
New Mundra–Panipat Oil Pipeline Proposed 1,194
Seahorse Pipeline Proposed 1,127
Trans Mountain Oil Pipeline Construction 980
Willow Oil Pipeline Proposed 620

Table A3

Oil Export Terminal Status Type Capacity Developer(s) Associated pipeline infrastructure Associated pipeline km
Brownsville Oil Terminal Proposed Onshore Jupiter MLP LLC
Bluewater Texas (BWTX) Terminal Proposed Offshore 1,920,000 bpd Trafigura; Phillips 66 Bluewater Texas (BWTX) Terminal Pipelines 90 km
Sea Port Oil Terminal (SPOT) Proposed Offshore 2,000,000 bpd Enbridge; Enterprise Products Partners Sea Port Oil Terminal (SPOT) Pipelines 97 km
Texas GulfLink Deepwater Port Proposed Offshore 1,100,000 bpd Sentinel Midstream Texas GulfLink Oil Pipelines 81 km
Blue Marlin Offshore Port (BMOP) Proposed Offshore 1,900,000 bpd Energy Transfer Blue Marlin Offshore Port (BMOP) Pipelines 60 km
NOLA Oil Terminal Construction Onshore NOLA Oil Terminal LLC (Christian Amedee; Roy M. Carubba)

Table A4

Region % of projects with reported capacity
Latin America and the Caribbean 93.8%
Australia and New Zealand 82.1%
North America 75.2%
South Asia 72.5%
Eurasia 66.7%
East Asia 57.5%
Europe 54.9%
Middle East and North Africa 44.4%
SE Asia 40.7%
Sub-Saharan Africa 30.0%